Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Bowling Green Falcons 12/26/24 – Arkansas State Red Wolves, who bagged the title of 7-5 and Bowling Green Falcons, who also bagged the title of 7-5, are all set to face off each other in the 68 Ventures Bowl. Both sides have shown some amazing moments throughout the season and would want to finish it strong. This is expected to be a close game as both teams have been able to compete at a similar level while aiming for the bowl.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Bowling Green Falcons 12/26/24
| When: | Thursday, December 26, 2024, at 9:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Hancock Whitney Stadium |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Wolves | +7.5 (-115) | 52.5 Over -110 | +225 |  |
| Green Falcons | -7.5 (-105) | 52.5 Under -110 | -275 | |
| ||||
ππ‘π π π’π§ππ₯π. ππ ππ₯π₯ ππ¨π¦ππ¬ ππ¨π°π§ ππ¨ ππ‘π’π¬.
π Bowling Green
ποΈ Hancock Whitney Stadium
πMobile, Alabama
π 8PM CT
πΊ ESPN#WolvesUp πΊπ€π» pic.twitter.com/ZKwwiSaCwL— Arkansas State Football (@AStateFB) December 26, 2024
Bowling Green ended the season strongly so we have made them favored by 7.5 points. But then, Arkansas State may be able to again, perform in close games which would make them the underdog to take the spread. As the total is currently set at 52.5, bettors should take note of the trends of the teams interested in low-scoring December games.
Jaylen Raynor QB vs. Connor Bazelak QB
Arkansas Stateβs Jaylen Raynor has had a productive year with 2,562 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, and nine interceptions to his name. Even though he has a decent completion rate of 61.8%, he has been sacked 27 times indicating vulnerability in his game when under immense pressure. Raynor will need to hook up with Corey Rucker who has scored five touchdowns as well as 946 receiving yards on this game, if they want to succeed against Bowling Green impressive defense.
Bowling Greenβs Connor Bazelak has been the more consistent option as he has thrown for 2,654, 15 touchdowns and only five interceptions. Earning a completion rate of 67.1% with a 141.5 passer rating puts him as an efficiency player. His role for the team has been essential as he connects with Tight End Harold Fannin Jr on the Eagles aerial attack who has scored nine touchdowns alongside 1,342 receiving yards for the team.
Arkansas Stateβs Resilient Season
The Red Wolves have been successful in three of their last five matches whereas they won against Georgia State and UL Monroe narrowly. The contribution of the team has been maintained through Zak Wallace on offense owing to his 622 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns whereas Corey Rucker has been key in the passing game as a consistent target. However, defensive lapses such as their 55-19 loss to Louisiana are still of concern to the team.
Bowling Greenβs Dominant Finish
The Falcons recorded four wins in the previous five matches and won 38:13 over Ball State. Stewartβs 890 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns support Bazelakβs core passing skills while Harold Fannin Jr provides multi-dimensionality at the tight end position. The defense of Bowling Green has also been solid, having held three of its opponents to below 15 points in their last few matches.
Trends
Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 6 games.
4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of their last 7 games against MAC opponents.
1-4 SU in their last 5 games played on a Thursday.
Bowling Green Falcons Betting Trends
3-6 ATS in their last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of their last 8 games.
5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 6 games against Sun Belt opponents.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Bowling Green Falcons Betting Prediction
Bowling Green’s momentum towards the end of the season and their offense’s firing power appear to make them the favorites to win. That said, the fact that Arkansas State is able to keep it close and that they have a +7.5 spread gives some value to backers of the underdog. I would not be so dismissive of the under-even at 52.5 considering how both teams have been in a low-scoring phase.
Expect Bazelak and Fannin Jr. to pass the ball around effectively and to guide Bowling Green to a decisive win or does Arkansas State’s reliance on Raynor crack under the pressure? Prop bets on Bazelakβs passing yards and on Fannin Jr.βs receptions are quite intriguing to consider.
Score Prediction: Bowling Green Falcons 30, Arkansas State Red Wolves 21.
