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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/5/24 MLB Betting Forecast and Predictions

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/5/24 – It is the quintessential start of the series as the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) host the Detroit Tigers (86-76) for an explosive first American League Division Series match on a Saturday afternoon. With the curtain raised on the MLB postseason, both teams have interesting tales about their performances during the regular season. This is one of the most anticipated matches both for the action that it promises and for multiple betting viewers. Offering free MLB picks, this day has a prediction of a spectacular, competitive, and emotionally charged game.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/5/24

When:Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 1:08 PM ET
Where:Progressive Field
TV:TBS, ESPN
Stream:MLB.TV

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians 10/5/24

TeamRLTOTALML
Tigers+1.5 (-170)7.5 over (-105)+120
Guardians-1.5 (+145)7.5 under (-115)-140
Bet Now on this Game

The betting odds set the Cleveland Guardians as the favorites with a -140 moneyline and a -1.5 spread at +145, indicating a slight edge over the Tigers, who are underdogs at +120. The total over/under is pegged at 7.5, with both teams showing a tendency for lower-scoring games as recent trends suggest.

Reese Olson (4-8, 3.53 ERA) vs. Tanner Bibee (12-8, 3.47 ERA)

Reese Olson, the starting pitcher for the Tigers, has a record of 4-8 and could be considered fluctuating throughout the season yet has a very good of 3.53 and 1.18 WHIP throughout the 112.1 innings pitched. Even though his record is subpar, his ability to control the number of hits surrendered and home runs given up could be crucial in a pressure cooker scenario. He has a low earned run average suggesting that he knows how to escape sticky situations, which will be necessary for tackling a Guardians team that has had plenty of firepower all season.

From the opposing end, Tanner Bibee of the Guardians has accrued a record of 12-8 but has done so with a slightly better ERA of 3.47 and an impressive 1.12 WHIP across 173.2 innings pitched. Bibee’s higher ratio of strikeouts to walks at 187 makes him look better to be a reliable starting pitcher. His staying power and ability to strike batters out will be important when they face the Tigers’ batters who have not been good against them the last time these two teams played.

Detroit’s Struggle and Surge: A Closer Look

Despite their overall solid season, the Tigers’ batting average sits at a modest .234, with a total of 682 runs and 162 home runs. Their on-base percentage (.300) and slugging percentage (.385) are areas of concern, indicating occasional struggles in generating consistent offensive output. However, their impressive road record of 9-1 in the last 10 games shows they can rise to the occasion when away from home.

Guardians’ Consistent Clout: Analyzing Cleveland’s Strengths

The Guardians, with a slightly better batting average of .238 and more home runs (185), have demonstrated a balanced offensive and defensive game. Their on-base percentage (.307) and slugging percentage (.395) edge out Detroit slightly, contributing to their higher season win total. The home field advantage and strong pitching could be decisive, especially with their robust home game under total record.

Trends

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit’s last 6 games.
Detroit are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games.
Tigers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Cleveland.
Detroit are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit’s last 13 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 5 games.
Cleveland are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland’s last 12 games against Detroit.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland’s last 14 games at home.
Total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland’s last 13 games when playing at home against Detroit.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Prediction

Considering all the comprehensive statistics and the trends in the match, this opening game appears to be evenly balanced leaning towards a more defensive match, considering the under 7.5 total. In this particular game, Cleveland exhibits some advantages since Tanner Bibee is on the mound and the team has performed well at home, especially now that Detroit has had problems facing them recently.

But, each Tigers collapse can have surprise potential boasting the experience of the recent away challenges, the Guardians’ element of power combined with tactical defense at home should hold. The recommendation also favors Cleveland winning, but this time concentrating more on the under total, taking into several factors that are persuading the bet. For the bettors who use the premier betting websites, they can even wager on the prop bets for strikeouts and individual innings looking at the pitchers.

 

Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Tigers 2.