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Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic 11/16/24 UFC 309 Betting Prediction and Preview

Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic 11/16/24 – On November 16, 2024, Madison Square Garden in New York, is the venue for an epic title fight for the UFC Heavyweight Title, featuring Jon Jones and Stipe Miocic. The match-up promises to be fire and is important to the heavyweight class. Jones walks into this fight with a near-perfect record of 27 victories, 1 defeat, and 1 no-contest, making him one of the most dangerous fighters in the octagon. Miocic, who has fought 24 times with 20 wins and 4 losses, wants to reclaim his glory and legacy as the champion.

Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic 11/16/24

When:Saturday, November 16, 2024 | Time: 10:00 PM ET
Where:Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, USA
TV:ESPN+
Stream:UFC Fight Pass

With current betting odds of -600, Jon Jones seems to be the clear favorite regarding this fight. This level of odds reflects one’s significantly high capabilities set in that division. Stipe Miocic, on the other hand, is the underdog and offers attractive rates at +450. This rate may seem appealing for bettors in search of upsets. However, these odds suggest that although Miocic is the less favored fighter and has much to lose, should we see a surprise win, it will be worth the risk.

Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic 11/16/24 Odds

Bet Now on this Game

FighterOddsFighterOdds
Jon Jones-600Stipe Miocic+450

Main Card

Jon Jones

Jon Jones, famous for his reach and fight IQ, owns a record that can be summarized as phenomenal. Jones has a record for MMA 27-1-0 (1NC) and remains a well-rounded fighter repeatedly. Out of his total fights, Jones’ average fight time is around 14:53 minutes which tells us he is able to outlast and control the strategy of his opponents. Jones is known to land around 4.29 significant strikes per minute and a strike accuracy of 57% with an average of 2.22 strikes taken per minute. He also boasts strong grappling skills, with an average of 1.93 grapplings and a takedown defense of 95%. These statistics highlight his ability to dictate the pace and position of the fight; which makes it difficult to defeat him, even if the opponent is Miocic.

Stipe Miocic

Stipe Miocic, although the odds may not be in his favor, is also a tough guy. He holds a record such as 20-4-0, indicating the many great wins and the tough losses throughout his career. Miocic stands at 6’4’’ tall like Jones, but weighs just a little bit less, at 240lbs. His striking game is somewhat more aggressive than Jones’ game with a Takedown average of 4.82 significant strikes per minute. On the other hand, his striking defense and grappling stats are a little lower. While Jones has a takedown defense of 95%, Miocic only has 68%. Miocic’s latest fight, the one against Ngannou, indicated that he could also be towards the losing end against fighters possessing such striking that Miocic struggles, something that Jones can take advantage off quite easily.

Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic 11/16/24 Betting Numbers

Jon Jones
Stipe Miocic
Record27-1-0 (1 NC)20-4-0
Last FightWinLoss
CountryUSAUSA
Height6′ 4″6′ 4″
Weight (lbs)248240
Reach (in)84″80″
Win by KO/TKO37%75%
Win by Submission26%0%
Decisions37%25%
Strikes landed per minute4.294.82
Striking accuracy57%53%
Striking absorbed per minute2.223.82
Striking defense64%54%
Takedown average1.931.86
Takedown accuracy45%34%
Takedown defense95%68%
Submission average0.50.0

Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic 11/16/24 Betting Picks

It is more than a battle for supremacy between two heavyweights; it is also a high-pressure game of strategy. Given his craftsmanship of evasive moves and clinching skills, Jones will be hard-pressed to lose his title. But Miocic has other attributes like sheer power and striking that can tip the fight in his favor if he uses his jab to his advantage and reaches for Jones’ defenses. It is not quite impossible to see how Jones is very likely to win, but Miocic’s unyielding tenacity and heart may bring this fight closer than most people expect.

In conclusion, the safe bet might be on Jon Jones given his already established pedigree and arsenal. However, Stipe Miocic supporters have an opportunity to get some returns if an upset occurs and those returns might be substantial. This fight could replicate the shock of Carlos Prates beating Neil Magny last week with a violent finish as many fans were stunned and this showed again how unpredictable the octagon can be. Either way, this is a historic battle between Jones and Miocic, two greats of the sport, that is unlikely to be forgotten anytime soon in the annals of the UFC.