Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles 10/1/24 – Now that the preparations for the AL Wild Card Game 1 are underway, the Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles game seems set to Yu-giri and those who cannot forget about baseball. The setting of the game is Oriole Park Camden Yards, which is Tuesday and in such a confrontation, one can expect tough action on the baseball field. Because of the historical records and the postseason context, this game is also shaping up to be exactly that kind of October baseball that is so often found at the top online sportsbooks.
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles 10/1/24
| When: | Tuesday, October 1, 2024 at 4:08 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Oriole Park at Camden Yards |
| TV: | ESP2 |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles 10/1/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | +1.5 (-175) | 7 over (-110) | +136 |  |
| Orioles | -1.5 (+145) | 7 under (-110) | -148 | |
| ||||
The Boys are headed to Baltimore. pic.twitter.com/fCKv2AthYA
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) September 29, 2024
The betting odds reflect a slight favor towards the Baltimore Orioles, who are positioned as the favorites with a -148 moneyline. The Royals, underdogs at +136, will need to leverage their resilience against the Orioles’ robust lineup. The spread and total suggest a close, low-scoring affair, indicative of the tight pitching duels typical in postseason matchups. Bettors should consider these dynamics when placing their stakes.
Cole Ragans (11-9, 3.14 ERA) vs. Corbin Burnes (15-9, 2.92 ERA)
The Kansas City Royals Cole Ragans has made a considerable impact this year with an 11-9 record and 3.14 ERA and fanned 223 batters in 186.1 innings pitched. His WHIP being 1.14 helps him stay competitive as he is quite difficult for batters to hit and gets plenty of outs. Still, Ragans will be forced to control his free passes and home runs allowed as they are playing against a powerful Orioles lineup.
On the contrary, Corbin Burnes for the Orioles has a season record of 15-9 and an even better ERA than Ragans of 2.92. A lower WHIP of 1.1 and fewer home runs let up shows the control and accuracy of Burnes which is important to Baltimore. Winds also present Rim Bert’s strikeout-to-walk ratio which could create problems for Royal’s hitters who must be patient and opportunistic as there will be no easy wins.
Royals’ Resilience: A Closer Look at the Stats
The Kansas City Royals’ team statistics reveal a blend of moderate power and consistency. With a .248 batting average and 170 home runs, they have shown they can score but may struggle against high-caliber pitching. Their on-base percentage (.306) and slugging (.403) are areas of concern as they face Burnes, who has kept opponents at bay all season. The Royals’ pitching staff, with a collective 3.76 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, will be under scrutiny to suppress the Orioles’ potent bats.
Orioles’ Offensive Onslaught: Analyzing the Power
The Baltimore Orioles, with a slightly higher .250 batting average and an impressive tally of 235 home runs, clearly have the upper hand in slugging (.435). Their ability to get on base (.315 OBP) and convert plays into scores is pivotal. Despite recent home struggles, their offensive lineup is designed for big hits, which could be the deciding factor in overcoming the Royals’ pitching strategy.
Trends
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 7 games.
Kansas City are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games.
Kansas City are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against Baltimore.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City’s last 8 games on the road.
Kansas City are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games.
Baltimore are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
Orioles are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games at home.
Baltimore are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas City.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore’s last 9 games against an opponent in the American League.
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Prediction
After evaluating the statistical analysis and recent trends, it can be argued that due to their previous head-to-head record, the Baltimore Orioles may be the slight favorites in this closely contested battle. In Oriole Park, during the playoffs, feeling the weight of strong pitching and powerful bats working together as one is an advantage that should be exploited. The trends also suggest bettors should bet on the lower points in this game as Turner and Bumgarner are both looking strong on the mound, and this could limit the scores of both teams below the total points line.
When assessing MLB betting odds and predictions here, the most reasonable bet is to place money on the Orioles to win this game, even with the total runs being under. Also, future bets on strikeouts props for Burnes might not be bad, considering how well he has pitched this season.
Score Prediction: Orioles 4, Royals 2.
