Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs. TCU Horned Frogs 12/28/24 – This match is as exciting as you would expect it to be, taking into account the fine performances of both the teams. Louisiana Raging Cajuns had a prominent season winning 10 games while losing only 3. However, their defeat in the conference championship game becomes a big upside to look on for future prospects, as they are highly favored in this clash. As for TCU Horned Frogs, their recent form comes into play as they have won the last 3 matches which certainly gives them an edge going into this fixture. The New Mexico Bowl certainly seems like a cracker of a game.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs. TCU Horned Frogs 12/28/24
| When: | Saturday, December 28, 2024, at 2:15 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | University Stadium (NM) |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragin’ Cajuns | +11.5 | Over 58.5 (-110) | +320 |  |
| Horned Frogs | -11.5 | Under 58.5 (-110) | -425 | |
| ||||
Let’s Geaux 3️⃣👏 One more time! https://t.co/Tol2M55grq
— Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns® Football (@RaginCajunsFB) December 28, 2024
With an 11.5 point spread, TCU is heavily favored in this contest according to the current odds given recent performances and overall quality of the team. Louisiana’s +320 moneyline is decent in value for those who feel that an upset may be in the cards. The total of 58.5 does seem reasonable and appropriate given the offensive capabilities both sides possess with the likelihood of this game being high scoring. When weighing the cover potential of TCU, bettors may look at whether the team will be able to overpower weaker opposing team defenses.
Daniel Beale QB vs. Josh Hoover QB
Daniel Beale from Louisiana has not had a chance to catch out a lot during this season as his record stands at 98 passing yards with a 38.5% completion percentage. Because of this reason it appears that Louisiana has sought to utilize their run game as well as play-action passes to form offensive thrust. The lack of experience Beale has, alongside his ineffectiveness when being pressured, having been sacked twice in a very small window, would not allow Louisiana to effectively make use of TCU’s secondary.
In contrast, TCU’s Josh Hoover has been a revelation. Amassing 3,697 passing yards and 23 touchdowns. On top of that, his 66.7% completion percentage alongside an 84-yard long pass outlines his efficiency and big play ability. In his case, however, there are 10 interceptions and 14 sacks that speak of a few wrong decisions taken at times. Perhaps the most vital aspect of the game will be how well he is able to steer the game in pressure situations against the Louisiana defense.
Ragin’ Cajuns Lean on Ground Game for Success
Louisiana has backed itself through the season with the running game led by Bill Davis, who has 775 rushing yards and nine touchdowns. Further, Lance LeGendre as a wide receiver adds depth to the offensive game with 814 receiving yards and six touchdown making the Cajuns quite a formidable pair. They seem to have a successful offense but the 31-3 defeat to Marshall in the Sun Belt Championship showcased their weaknesses against elite teams.
TCU’s All-Around Strength Shines
TCU, having already established their best way to play as evidenced by their convincing victories over Cincinnati, Arizona, and Oklahoma State, seems to be clicking. Convertibles are Josh Hoover’s poise and Cam Cook’s nine rushing touchdowns that made the offense dangerous. While Richardson registered a single touchdown, he constitutes a dependable target in his pass receiving role and, thus, red zone offense bears signs of enhancement. Besides, TCU’s defense has in the recent three matches been able to limit the average scoring of their opponents to 18 points per encounter.
Trends
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Trends
Louisiana is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
Louisiana is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in four of their last six Saturday games.
TCU Horned Frogs Betting Trends
TCU is 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
TCU is 5-1 SU in their last six games.
TCU is 6-1 SU in their last seven Saturday games.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs. TCU Horned Frogs Betting Prediction
TCU is up against Louisiana. Given TCU’s roster and what metrics show, they are the favorites to win the match as well as cover the points spread, which currently stands at -11.5 in favor of TCU. Louisiana has a strong running game, but one of the weaknesses they have is youth at quarterback, which will only keep TCU looking for upsets. It seems like the best option for the total given this match up would be to go for the under given TCU’s above average defense.
In terms of player props bets, TCU’s Jay Hoover should be able to surpass his passing yards prop, considering Louisiana’s history struggling against elite QBs. Also, a good bet would be on Cam Cook to score anytime. He seems likely to score considering he has managed to score on multiple occasions transfering to TCU.
Score Prediction: TCU Horned Frogs 34, Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns 20.
