Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns 2/11/25 – On Tuesday night, the Memphis Grizzlies (35-17) will visit the Footprint Center for a matchup against the Phoenix Suns (26-27). The Grizzlies come into this game as one the most form team in the league, as they have won 10 of their last 12 games (10-2). At the same time, the Suns have been losing as well, having won only one of their last five games while battling for a playoff position. This game should feature two of the fastest scoring teams in the league, so it is no wonder that the total is set at an astonishing 242.5. Let’s look into the lines, the key players, and the statistics to analyze this matchup.
| When: | Tuesday, February 11, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| TV: | TNT, truTV |
| Stream: | NBA League Pass |
Heading West 📍🏜️ pic.twitter.com/N0HZTbNBMg
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) February 10, 2025
Memphis enters this contest as a 3.5-point road favorite, which isn’t surprising given their recent dominance. They’ve been one of the most reliable teams against the spread (ATS), covering in 10 of their last 14 games. Additionally, the total is set at a sky-high 242.5 points, reflecting both teams’ offensive firepower. The over has hit in 10 of Memphis’ last 14 games and six of Phoenix’s last seven, making the high-scoring trend a legitimate factor for bettors.
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | -3.5 (-115) | Over 242.5 (-110) | -165 |  |
| Suns | +3.5 (-105) | Under 242.5 (-110) | +140 | |
| ||||
Jaren Jackson Jr. (PF) vs. Kevin Durant (PF)
Jaren Jackson Jr. has evolved into one of the top big men in the NBA, averaging 23.3 points per game while being a defensive force, averaging 1.6 blocks per game. His ability to stretch the floor and finish at the rim makes him a nightmare for defenders, but he does struggle with fouls (3.4 fouls per game). If Jackson stays disciplined, he should be able to take advantage of Phoenix’s poor interior defense.
On the other side, Kevin Durant has always been one of the best scorers in the league, and this season is averaging 26.9 points per game. Even with the time missed due to injury, Durant is still the first option in Phoenix. His efficiency (47.3 FG%) and ability to take over games in the clutch will also be important in keeping Phoenix competitive. Nonetheless, his over reliance on the perimeter (3.0 turnovers per game) and poor rebounding could be some of the weaknesses that Memphis takes advantage of.
Memphis Grizzlies Recent Performance & Statistical Edge
The Grizzlies have been a dominant force in their last five outings, winning four straight before falling to Oklahoma City. They have averaged 126 points in their last five games, showing their offensive depth and consistency. Notably, Memphis has covered the spread in seven of their last ten meetings with Phoenix, signaling a favorable historical trend.
Phoenix Suns Inconsistency Holding Them Back
Phoenix’s recent struggles are evident in their 1-4 straight-up (SU) record in their last five games. Their inability to defend home court is also concerning, with a 1-5 ATS record in their last six home matchups against Memphis. Despite their offensive firepower, defensive lapses and rebounding deficiencies (42.5 RPG) have plagued the Suns all season.
Trends
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Trends
Memphis is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Memphis’ last 14 games.
Memphis is 10-2 SU in their last 12 games.
Memphis is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Phoenix.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis’ last 5 road games.
Phoenix Suns Betting Trends
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix’s last 7 games.
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Phoenix’s last 16 home games.
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games against Memphis.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Prediction
The Phoenix Suns have had a rough season this year, facing multiple losses in a row. Given their recent performance, especially on the road, Memphis should not underestimate Phoenix. The Suns seem to be struggling against the Memphis team, especially with their recent decrease in scoring efficiency paired with their poor performance defensively. It is very likely the Grizzlies will set the tone early on and play with a stronger focus on offense.
Memphis -3.5 seems to be the safest bet, especially given the Grizzlies’ performance and the Suns wreaking havoc on the odds. On the other hand, taking OVER 242.5 to increase bets could also be appealing due to how both teams have been scoring. Nonetheless, if the Memphis team is able to perform at peak, the score could land just under the mark. Sign up today to make your NBA betting prediction!
Score Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies 128, Phoenix Suns 118.
