Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Colorado State Rams 12/28/24 – The Arizona Bowl promises to be an interesting encounter as the Miami (OH) RedHawks (8-5) come up against the Colorado State Rams (8-4). Considering their record as well as their recent form, this promises to be an exciting encounter. After suffering a disappointing defeat to Ohio in the MAC Championship, Miami (OH) hopes to recover however, Colorado State comes into the game with high morale after their exciting victory over Utah State.
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Colorado State Rams 12/28/24
| When: | Saturday, December 28, 2024, at 4:30 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Arizona Stadium |
| TV: | The CW Network |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RedHawks | -2.5 | Over 40.5 (-110) | -140 |  |
| Rams | +2.5 | Under 40.5 (-110) | +120 | |
| ||||
What we’ve been up to 🎳#RiseUpRedHawks | 🎓🏆 pic.twitter.com/fqvIJuyt4v
— Miami Football (@MiamiOHFootball) December 28, 2024
The RedHawks could be slight favorites as they are 2.5 points up on the spread against Colorado state The Rams +2.5 or the moneyline at +120 do hold value, especially considering their impressive ATS record. Based on the low total of 40.5 the game is expected to be tightly contested with regards to defense on both ends but then again there are reasons to believe that each oppressing defense can bolt the team into bigger scoring opportunities forcing them to cover the spread.
Brett Gabbert QB vs. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi QB
The RedHawks look to Brett Gabbert, who has 2,737 passing yards and 21 touchdowns to his name. His 57.6% completion rate suggests that accuracy is not his strongpoint but Miami’s offense derives a boost from his average range of passing. The breakdown is that Gabbert is up against 25 sacks on the season, which could be of concern against the Colorado State Rams defense.
The Rams on the other hand have had Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi on the roster who has consistently been a medium producer with 2,475 yards and a total of 13 touchdowns. Considering his completion percentage of 61.8% which is respectable, he hasn’t been sacked much either 9 times which says a lot about his making sense and quick calls. For the upcoming match against the RedHawks, owing to the fact that the Rams are up against an aggressive defense, Fowler-Nicolosi will need to be smart and vigilant as he has a total of 7 interceptions.
RedHawks Look to Ground Game for Success
Miami (OH) utilized a balanced offense, during which Keyon Mozee rushed the ball for 1,073 yards and four touchdowns. On the other hand, they were able to rely on the receiving talents of Javon Tracy who was able to throw for 818 yards and seven touchdowns. They put up a performance worth noting in their previous matches even though they lost to Ohio. RedHawks ended their regular season on a high note after winning four matches in a row which indicated their dominance over less competitive teams. Offensive inconsistencies are however still a concern for them.
Rams Ride Momentum into Arizona Bowl
Colorado State has been on a roll lately winning 4 out of their last 5 matches, including win against Bowling Green. Avery Morrow has emerged as their star running Back with a total of 956 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns to his name. Caleb Goodie is a threat to defenses with his ability to catch big plays, as he averages 20.8 yards a reception. Defensively the Rams have been strong as they have restricted teams to under 10 points in two out of the last five matches which is going to be a difficult thing for Miami’s offense to deal with.
Trends
Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami (OH)’s last 18 games.
Miami (OH) is 7-1 SU in their last eight games.
Miami (OH) is 17-1 SU in their last 18 games when playing as the favorite.
Colorado State Rams Betting Trends
Colorado State is 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Colorado State’s last 18 games.
Colorado State is 6-1 SU in their last seven games.
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Colorado State Rams Betting Prediction
The matchup obviously has two equally great teams in Miami (OH) and Colorado State. The only advantage that Miami (OH) possesses is their balanced offense and their strong SU as “favorites”. Still, there’s Colorado State who through their ability to cover spreads and hot streaks are a dangerous team.
Regarding prop bets, I would target Mozee to go over his rushing yard total, as the Rams have not been good against top tier backs. Considering the defensive strengths that both teams possess, I agree with the total being at 40.5, but a couple of big plays can definitely turn the match towards the over.
Score Prediction: Miami (OH) RedHawks 24, Colorado State Rams 20.
