Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 10/8/24 – With the fall season underway and the baseball playoffs in full swing, it’s time for the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets to meet for the NLDS Game 3. Given that the Mets and the Phillies have a season record of 89-73 and 95-67, respectively, this clash at the Citi Field will be one of the determining moments in the postseason campaigns of both teams. This game brings together two arch-rivals who have been competing on level terms and becomes a decisive turn for those who are into making baseball postseason betting predictions.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 10/8/24
| When: | Tuesday, October 8, 2024 at 5:08 PM ETE |
|---|---|
| Where: | Citi Field |
| TV: | FS1, ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 10/8/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -1.5 (+143) | 7.5 over (-110) | -112 |  |
| Mets | +1.5 (-163) | 7.5 under (-110) | +102 | |
| ||||
Taking this show on the road#RedOctober pic.twitter.com/kJgCbGEjrv
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) October 7, 2024
The odds suggest a tight contest with the Phillies slightly favored on the moneyline at -112 and the Mets close behind at +102. Philadelphia’s spread of -1.5 at +143 indicates oddsmakers expect them to win by at least two runs, a testament to their powerful lineup. However, the Mets’ resilience, particularly at home, could make them a tempting pick at +1.5. The total over/under set at 7.5 reflects the expectation of a moderately high-scoring game, aligning with both teams’ recent trends towards higher run totals.
Aaron Nola (14-8, 3.57 ERA) vs. Sean Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA)
Nola Aaron, who has been the Phillies pitching ace this season, holds a decent win-loss record of 14-8 with an ERA of 3.57. In terms of innings pitched, Nola has recorded 199.1 innings pitched and held a WHIP of 1.2, displaying his capability to control the game with undisturbed base runners. Winning games with trust in Nola of Philadelphia has come largely due to his nailing of 197 batters, a bit that is of extreme utility in the Philadelphia’s defense strategy.
On the other hand for the Mets, Sean Manaea is a tough task with a 12-6 record and an even better 3.47 ERA. His phenomenal 1.08 WHIP in 181.2 IP scoops above the averages of his peers. While Manaea has allowed less home runs (allowed 21) than Nola, it would be the Phillies aggressive hitters who may benefit from Manaea’s higher walk rate. His ability to fanning out 18.
Philadelphia Phillies: A Blend of Power and Precision
The regular season statistics for the Phillies demonstrate the team is not one-sided. Offensively, they are better than average with a batting average of .257 and a reasonable fraction of 198 home runs. The team’s slugging average of .425 alongside an OBP of .325 simply illustrates a team that does not solely hack but also makes hits effectively. Based on these statistics, their first game against Manaea’s team would be characterized by numerous stolen bases and effective hitting strategies employed early in the innings.
Mets’ Calculated Approach at the Plate
The New York Mets, while slightly trailing in batting average at .246, have outpaced the Phillies in home runs with 207 this season. Their strategy revolves around a slightly more conservative approach at the plate, evidenced by a higher walk rate leading to a .319 OBP. The Mets will need to leverage their home field advantage and the depth of their batting lineup to challenge Nola’s command on the mound and push for those crucial runs.
Trends
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers’ last 6 games.
LA Dodgers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of LA Dodgers’ last 17 games against an opponent in the National League.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games.
San Diego are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 7 games against LA Dodgers.
San Diego are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.
San Diego are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Prediction
Both teams exhibit relevant strengths and weaknesses such that this game is certain to be a close contest. The pitching duel will likely tilt in favor of the Mets given Manaea’s superior WHIP and ERA, which indicates the Phillies’ bats may not be a threat therefore making New York an attractive option on the moneyline at +102. On this trend, the odds on OVER 7.5 would be attractive to those betting on the total.
Among these two teams, the best betting websites suggest a measure of advantage for the Mets, especially in view of their fine home record and the fact that the Phillies never seem to win at Citi Field. Since both have high strikeout percentages, prop betting such as betting on total strikeout for both pitchers may be worth consideration. All in all, a close game will be played and there will not be absolute certainty as to who’s going to win in the end.
Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4.
