San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 10/5/24 – The excitement of the MLB playoffs continues with the San Diego Padres (93-69) going into battle with the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) in NLDS Game 1. Pegs and Goats were overshadowed throughout the regular season offensively and defensively, but only a single one will pull out the win with such pressure-filled game. This match actually features two of the best teams, and there is no lack of betting bonus on such an occasion which encourages excellent free MLB betting tips to be able to watch the drama unfold.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 10/5/24
| When: | Saturday, October 5, 2024, at 8:38 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Dodger Stadium |
| TV: | FS1, ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 10/5/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | +1.5 (-167) | 8 over (-120) | +126 |  |
| Dodgers | -1.5 (+134) | 8 under (-108) | -149 | |
| ||||
Good vibes only.#FightForTheFaithful pic.twitter.com/MW76MdKhC1
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) October 5, 2024
The betting lines suggest a slight advantage for the Dodgers, reflective of their superior regular-season record and home-field advantage. The Padres, however, are not far behind, making the spread and moneyline bets particularly enticing. With the total set at 8, the odds lean slightly towards a lower-scoring game, which aligns with the Padres’ recent trend of unders.
Dylan Cease (14-11 W-L, 3.47 ERA) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (7-2 W-L, 3 ERA)
Dylan Cease has ended up as the starting pitcher for the Padres and has been very effective through the season with a record of 3.47 and whiffs of 224 in 189.1 innings pitched. With such a high strikeout rate and extremely good at limited home runs hit against him (only 18 HRs allowed), it forms a good balance on the hill. Cease is in good form and handles pressure well, as seen in the effectiveness of his control, which will help him against the dangerous lineup of the Dodgers.
On the other hand, although the most effective Yamamoto Yoshinobu has had no complete game and has thrown on fewer innings, that is 90, has an extraordinary 3.00 ERA and has a good strikeout-walk ratio. Registering 105 strikeouts and only 22 walks, he means accuracy and efficiency where is much needed for the Dodgers. Even with a home run rate of 7 HRs given up, Yamamoto is further capable of getting the outs when it matters, and this will greatly control the series.
Padres’ Punch: Analyzing the Offensive Threat
The Padres, with a team batting average of .263 and 760 runs scored this season, have relied on a balanced offensive approach. Their ability to connect with the ball is evident from their 1456 hits, and with 190 home runs, they pose a constant threat to go deep. Key to their strategy will be maintaining a solid on-base percentage (.324), setting the stage for their sluggers to drive in runs.
Dodgers’ Dominance at the Plate
The Dodgers have outslugged many with their impressive tally of 233 home runs and a slugging percentage of .446. With 842 runs, they lead the Padres in run production, reflecting their lineup’s depth and power. Their slightly higher on-base percentage (.335) suggests they are slightly more adept at drawing walks and creating scoring opportunities, an advantage that could prove significant in postseason play.
Trends
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Diego’s last 15 games.
San Diego are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
San Diego are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games against LA Dodgers.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 7 games on the road.
San Diego are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the National League.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 14 of LA Dodgers’ last 19 games.
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home.
LA Dodgers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of LA Dodgers’ last 17 games against an opponent in the National League West Division division.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Prediction
That said, looking at the strengths of both teams and their performance trends, the Dodgers seem to have a slight advantage further accentuated by their home crowd. Nonetheless, one cannot overlook the persistent pitching and stable offense of the Padres. It might be safer for spread bettors to back the Padres +1.5 considering their tenacity in facing top-tier opposition.
As for the over/under, it is reasonable to take the under considering the strong starting pitchers for both teams, and the atmosphere of playoffs usually means more restrained performances. When you look up the best betting websites, don’t forget to check for in-game betting as well as the level of the teams is more or less even.
Score Prediction: Dodgers 4, Padres 3.
