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Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes 7/27/24 UFC 304 Betting Picks

Aspinall vs. Blaydes 7/27/24 – As the UFC 304 draws near, the interim heavyweight title bout between Tom Aspinall and Curtis “Razor” Blaydes promises to captivate fans worldwide. This matchup, scheduled for Saturday, July 27, 2024, at the Co-op Live in Manchester, England, is a pinnacle event for any top-tier sportsbook online. Both fighters have impressive records, with Aspinall boasting a 14-3-0 and Blaydes a slightly more seasoned 18-4-0 (1 NC). With these statistics, the bout not only offers thrilling action but also intriguing opportunities for bettors.

Aspinall vs. Blaydes 7/27/24

When:Saturday, September 17, 4:00 PM ET
Where:UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
TV:ESPN+
Stream:UFC Fight Pass

The current betting odds favor Tom Aspinall at -250, indicating a strong confidence in his ability to win, whereas Curtis Blaydes stands as the underdog at +180. This disparity suggests that while Aspinall is expected to dominate, there might be value in betting on Blaydes, considering his solid track record and the potential for an upset.

Aspinall vs. Blaydes 7/27/24 Odds

Bet Now on this Game

FighterOddsFighterOdds
Tom Aspinall-250Curtis Blaydes+180

Main Card

Tom Aspinall

Tom Aspinall makes his debut in the octagon with the record of 14-3 which is a good record. Out of stand-up exchanges his significant strike rate per minute is (7.72 – 66% accuracy) which shows that in terms of striking, the fighter is a formidable opponent. This is accompanied by rather good grappling stats, which indicate an average of 3.46 takedowns per a 15 minute round, for which the takedown accuracy and defense is 100%. Indeed, his recent win against Pavlovich also revealed his punishing performance and accurate finishing sense; his average fight span was only 2:10. This significance of agility coupled with the skill set makes Aspinall capable of dictating the pace most of the time and potentially get a finish by KO or submission.

Curtis Blaydes

Curtis “Razor” Blaydes, a strong contender with an 18-4-0 record, has all the endurance and strategy in the world of fighting.  However, he strikes less per minute at 3.53 a minute with only 50% accuracy in his attacks His defensive meter of 1. 83 strikes per min makes him capable of handling longer fights with an average fight time of 9:02. Not to mention, Blaydes excels in grappling, as his average of 5.72 takedowns for every 15 minutes spent in the cage is higher than that of Aspinall’s; however, the latter has better takedown accuracy and a better takedown defense rate than Blaydes. This made him a powerful fighter and his win against Almeida demonstrated his cardio and use of wrestling, which could be valuable in avoiding Aspinall’s striking game.

Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes Tale of the Tape

Tom Aspinall
Curtis Blaydes
Record14-3-018-4-0 (1 NC)
Last FightWinWin
CountryEnglandUSA
Height6′ 5″6′ 4″
Weight (lbs)256265
Reach (in)78″80″
Win by KO/TKO79%72%
Win by Submission21%0%
Decisions0%28%
Strikes landed per minute7.723.53
Striking accuracy66%50%
Striking absorbed per minute2.771.83
Striking defense66%59%
Takedown average3.465.72
Takedown accuracy100%53%
Takedown defense100%31%
Submission average1.70.0

Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes Summary

As UFC 304 approaches, the heavyweight interim title clash between Tom Aspinall and Curtis Blaydes shapes up to be a riveting contest that’s garnering significant attention among MMA betting picks today. Aspinall, with his quicker average fight time and striking superiority, is heavily favored by the odds. His ability to deliver powerful, accurate strikes and maintain an impeccable defense in both striking and grappling makes him a top pick for those betting on a decisive finish.

However, Curtis Blaydes shouldn’t be underestimated, as his resilience and wrestling skills present a formidable challenge that could extend the fight and test Aspinall’s endurance. Blaydes’ strategy will likely revolve around taking the fight to the ground and exploiting his takedown prowess, which could sway the bout in his favor if he manages to neutralize Aspinall’s striking. Thus, while Aspinall may be the favorite, Blaydes offers a tempting option for bettors looking for value in an underdog capable of an upset, making this matchup a critical feature in today’s MMA betting picks.